Tag: Trade Data


  • Import Levels Defy Prediction: The Elasticity Question One of the most significant economic surprises of 2025 has been the stability of US import volumes despite aggressive tariff increases. Economic theory predicts that tariffs increase the price of imports, which reduces demand for imported goods as consumers and businesses substitute toward domestic alternatives or reduce consumption.…

  • US Trade Hits Record Levels While Deficit Remains Structural: The Composition Story

    Record Trade Volumes Mask Persistent Deficit Dynamics US trade reached record levels in 2025, with exports rising to 3.43 trillion dollars, up 6% year-over-year, while imports climbed to 4.33 trillion dollars. Despite these record volumes, the structural trade deficit persists largely unchanged. The deficit remained near 901 billion dollars, reflecting a fundamental imbalance between what…